SGPLABResearch

CFB · Team Reverse Correlation · 1st Half WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

CFB Team Correlation Tool

On this page

The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a CFB team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

1st Half WIN ▲Full Game WIN ▼
⌕
lg avg 8.7% · 257 teams
TeamGamesPUSHRECCombo %Edge
CORNELLCOR2716-2122.2%—
NORTH ALABAMAUNA3227-2521.9%▼8.9%
ARKANSASARK2956-2320.7%▲8.4%
TROYHVCC3417-2720.6%▼0.2%
VIRGINIA TECHVT34—7-2720.6%▲4.3%
WASHINGTON STATEWSU3417-2720.6%▲6.4%
MERRIMACKMRMK3036-2420.0%▼15.2%
WOFFORDWOF3046-2420.0%▲79.2%
MASSACHUSETTSMASS3126-2519.4%▲2.5%
NEBRASKANEB3146-2519.4%▲9.2%
WESTERN CAROLINAWCU3136-2519.4%▼16.3%
EAST TENNESSEE STATEETSU3316-2718.2%▼3.7%
IDAHO STATEIDST3316-2718.2%▲19.4%
COLGATECOLG2865-2317.9%▲86.5%
TEXAS SOUTHERNTXSO2835-2317.9%▼8.6%
UTAH STATEUSU34—6-2817.6%▼12.2%
ROBERT MORRISRMU2955-2417.2%▼6.5%
NORTH DAKOTAUND3616-3016.7%▲41.2%
BOSTON COLLEGEBC3045-2516.7%▼2.0%
UABUAB3035-2516.7%▼4.5%
GARDNER-WEBBGWEB3135-2616.1%▲25.2%
NORTH CAROLINA A&TNCAT3135-2616.1%▼8.0%
BOWLING GREENBGSU3235-2715.6%▼1.5%
ELONELON3225-2715.6%▼8.5%
GEORGIA TECHGT3235-2715.6%▲0.4%
MINNESOTAMINN3235-2715.6%▼12.1%
OKLAHOMAOU3235-2715.6%▼5.7%
SOUTH CAROLINASC3225-2715.6%▼2.4%
TULSATLSA3215-2715.6%▼3.2%
TEXAS STATETXST3235-2715.6%▲8.2%
YALEYALE2644-2215.4%—
EAST CAROLINAECU3325-2815.2%▼4.6%
SACRAMENTO STATESAC3315-2815.2%▲0.8%
STETSONSTET33—5-2815.2%—
CALIFORNIACAL3415-2914.7%▼9.9%
FRESNO STATEFRES3415-2914.7%▼20.1%
NORFOLK STATENORF34—5-2914.7%▼4.2%
GEORGIA SOUTHERNGASO35—5-3014.3%▲7.8%
PENN STATEPSU3535-3014.3%▲17.6%
YOUNGSTOWN STATEYSU35—5-3014.3%—
AUBURNAUB2854-2414.3%▼1.3%
SOUTHERN UTAHSUU2954-2513.8%▼13.4%
AUSTIN PEAYAPSU3044-2613.3%▼12.0%
EAST TEXAS A&METAM3044-2613.3%—
KANSAS STATEKSU3044-2613.3%▼5.4%
NEVADANEV3044-2613.3%▼6.2%
RICHMONDRICH3054-2613.3%▼8.4%
SAN JOSÉ STATESJSU3054-2613.3%▼3.0%
WILLIAM & MARYW&M3044-2613.3%—
DRAKEDRKE3124-2712.9%—