NFL · Team Reverse Correlation · 1st Half WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons
NFL Team Correlation Tool
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The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a NFL team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.
Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.
| Team | Games | REC | Combo % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 8-32 | ▼10.6% | ||
| 42 | 8-34 | ▼0.4% | ||
| 44 | 8-36 | ▼1.1% | ||
| 39 | 7-32 | ▼6.6% | ||
| 41 | 7-34 | ▼11.6% | ||
| 42 | 7-35 | ▼0.3% | ||
| 40 | 6-34 | ▼9.9% | ||
| 40 | 6-34 | ▼11.2% | ||
| 40 | 6-34 | ▼15.1% | ||
| 41 | 6-35 | ▼1.3% | ||
| 43 | 6-37 | ▼11.2% | ||
| 36 | 5-31 | ▼6.1% | ||
| 45 | 6-39 | ▼12.3% | ||
| 45 | 6-39 | ▼10.3% | ||
| 39 | 5-34 | ▼11.0% | ||
| 40 | 5-35 | ▼10.4% | ||
| 40 | 5-35 | ▼6.4% | ||
| 42 | 5-37 | ▼17.8% | ||
| 43 | 5-38 | ▼6.2% | ||
| 39 | 4-35 | ▼15.3% | ||
| 41 | 4-37 | ▼8.0% | ||
| 42 | 4-38 | ▼16.7% | ||
| 42 | 4-38 | ▼4.7% | ||
| 42 | 4-38 | ▼10.9% | ||
| 39 | 3-36 | ▼11.5% | ||
| 41 | 3-38 | ▼21.9% | ||
| 40 | 2-38 | ▼14.8% | ||
| 41 | 2-39 | ▼19.9% | ||
| 42 | 2-40 | ▼16.8% | ||
| 44 | 2-42 | ▼20.0% | ||
| 39 | 1-38 | ▼15.6% | ||
| 44 | 1-43 | ▼16.7% |